MyMidas/backend/app
megaproxy 4572621f5d ML predictions Phase 4: SARIMA spending forecast with dual confidence bands
Replaces unused Prophet dependency (unrunnable without cmdstan) with
SARIMA (statsmodels SARIMAX) as the primary spending forecast algorithm.
Strategy: SARIMA(1,1,1)(1,0,1,12) for 12+ months of data, ARIMA(1,1,1)
for 6-11 months, Holt-Winters for 3-5 months, simple average below that.

Adds 95% confidence bands (1.96σ) alongside existing 80% (1.28σ).
Extends forecast horizon from 3 to 6 months and actuals display from
6 to 12 months. Each category now carries an algorithm field surfaced
as a badge in the UI. Frontend chart shows both confidence tiers as
stacked bar overlays with a 3-month summary grid below.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-28 10:30:26 +00:00
..
api ML predictions Phase 1 & 2: Budget Forecast tab and Cash Flow upgrades 2026-04-28 10:21:57 +00:00
core Add AI receipt scanning with OCR pipeline and debug toggle 2026-04-22 22:07:38 +00:00
db Add pensions module and integrate with tax report 2026-04-28 09:59:01 +00:00
demo Fix demo tax page: seed UK tax rate configs for demo user 2026-04-23 23:03:19 +00:00
ml ML predictions Phase 4: SARIMA spending forecast with dual confidence bands 2026-04-28 10:30:26 +00:00
schemas Add pensions module and integrate with tax report 2026-04-28 09:59:01 +00:00
services Add pensions module and integrate with tax report 2026-04-28 09:59:01 +00:00
workers Complete Phase 3, Phase 5 polish and hardening 2026-04-22 14:59:11 +00:00
__init__.py Initial commit: MyMidas personal finance tracker 2026-04-21 11:56:10 +00:00
config.py Add public demo mode with auto-seeding, hourly reset, and Portainer deploy guide 2026-04-23 22:08:24 +00:00
dependencies.py Initial commit: MyMidas personal finance tracker 2026-04-21 11:56:10 +00:00
main.py Seed historical net worth snapshots and trigger live price sync on demo startup 2026-04-23 22:47:44 +00:00